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Westpac expecting three more interest rate rises and a 4.1 per cent Reserve Bank cash rate by May

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Westpac issues dire interest rate warning for mortgage holders: Pain is going to be even WORSE than the Big Four banks expected

  •  Westpac now expecting 4.1 per cent cash rate
  •  That means March, April and May rate rises
  •  Westpac, ANZ and NAB see three rate rises

Westpac has become the latest of the Big Four banks to now be expecting three more interest rate rises by May.

Chief economist Bill Evans has revised Westpac’s forecasts to have the Reserve Bank raising interest rates in March, April and May to an 11-year high of 4.1 per cent.

‘At 4.1 per cent, the cash rate will be in deeply contractionary territory and a pause will be appropriate,’ he said.

Three of Australia’s Big Four banks – Westpac, ANZ and NAB – are now expecting a 4.1 per cent cash rate by May, with the Commonwealth Bank still expecting a 3.85 per cent cash rate by May.

Borrowers have already endured nine consecutive monthly interest rates rises since May 2022, that has taken the RBA cash rate to a 10-year high of 3.35 per cent. 

Westpac has become the latest of the Big Four banks to now be expecting three more interest rate rises by May

Westpac has become the latest of the Big Four banks to now be expecting three more interest rate rises by May

This has seen repayments on an average, $600,000 surge by 42 per cent to $3,284 from $2,306 for a someone on a 30-year loan now servicing a Commonwealth Bank loan with a 5.17 per cent variable rate.

Little more nine months ago, this borrower was paying a 2.29 per cent variable rate when the RBA cash rate was still at a record-low of 0.1 per cent.

But three more rate rises would take a Commonwealth Bank standard variable rate to 5.92 per cent and see repayments climb to by another $283 to $3,567 – marking a 54.7 per cent increase in a year.

NAB chief economist Alan Oster last week suggested a 4.1 per cent cash rate, as he is predicting, would go close to pushing Australia into a recession. 



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